Serie A · 24/25

Inter v Empoli

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Inter3 – 1 Empoli 19 Jan 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lautaro Martínez	shots total	1+	100%	5	✓
Mehdi Taremi	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Federico Dimarco	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Marcus Thuram	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Denzel Dumfries	fouls committed	1+	86%	1	✓
Denzel Dumfries	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Kristjan Asllani	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Nicolò Barella	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Youssef Maleh	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Piotr Zieliński	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Jacopo Fazzini	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Benjamin Pavard	fouls committed	1+	77%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	56%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	40%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	9%	0 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Inter & Empoli player stats→ Inter players & stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works