Empoli v Inter
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Marcus Thuram | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Federico Dimarco | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Davide Frattesi | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Piotr Zieliński | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Denzel Dumfries | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Denzel Dumfries | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Liam Henderson | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicolò Barella | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Pietro Pellegri | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ola Solbakken | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pietro Pellegri | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giuseppe Pezzella | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 19% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Inter 3–1 Empoli Jan 2025
- Inter 2–0 Empoli Apr 2024
- Empoli 0–1 Inter Sep 2023
- Empoli 0–3 Inter Apr 2023
- Inter 0–1 Empoli Jan 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.