Serie A · 25/26
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Lazio v Cremonese
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Lazio0 – 0
Cremonese
20 Dec 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijjani Noslin | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 2 | ✓ |
| Pedro | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Valentín Castellanos | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matteo Cancellieri | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dennis Johnsen | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Matteo Cancellieri | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 6 | ✓ |
| Pedro | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Warren Bondo | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Reda Belahyane | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matías Vecino | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tommaso Barbieri | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jamie Vardy | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 55% | 8 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 51% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 50% | 0 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Lazio & Cremonese player stats→
Lazio players & stats→
Cremonese players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Cremonese 1–2 Lazio May 2026
- Lazio 3–2 Cremonese May 2023
- Cremonese 0–4 Lazio Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.