Salernitana v Empoli
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Boulaye Dia | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Shon Weissman | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alberto Cerri | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Loum Tchaouna | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Grigoris Kastanos | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Antonio Candreva | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jacopo Fazzini | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giulio Maggiore | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Szymon Żurkowski | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Sambia | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 48% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 42% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 41% | 5 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Empoli 1–0 Salernitana Sep 2023
- Empoli 2–1 Salernitana May 2023
- Salernitana 2–2 Empoli Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.