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Serie A · 23/24

Empoli v Salernitana

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli1 – 0 Salernitana 27 Sep 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jovane Cabral shots total 1+ 98% 6
Matteo Cancellieri shots total 1+ 94% 1
Stiven Shpendi shots total 1+ 94% 1
Antonio Candreva shots total 1+ 94% 0
Grigoris Kastanos shots total 1+ 89% 2
Boulaye Dia shots total 1+ 89% 0
Youssef Maleh fouls committed 1+ 85% 3
Agustín Martegani shots total 1+ 81% 1
Tommaso Baldanzi shots total 1+ 81% 2
Jacopo Fazzini shots total 1+ 81% 2
Giulio Maggiore fouls committed 1+ 79% 2
Erik Botheim shots total 1+ 79% 1
Matteo Cancellieri fouls drawn 1+ 78% 5
Norbert Gyömbér fouls committed 1+ 77% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 49% No
Match cards O4.5 49% 3 cards
Match goals O2.5 45% 1 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.