Salernitana v Fiorentina
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riccardo Sottil | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Ikoné | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Christian Kouamé | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Antonín Barák | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gaetano Castrovilli | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Riccardo Sottil | fouls drawn | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Loum Tchaouna | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fabiano Parisi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alfred Duncan | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Antonio Candreva | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Christian Kouamé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mateusz Łęgowski | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 56% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 53% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 40% | 6 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Fiorentina 3–0 Salernitana Dec 2023
- Salernitana 3–3 Fiorentina May 2023
- Fiorentina 2–1 Salernitana Nov 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.