Serie A · 23/24

Salernitana v Lazio

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Salernitana2 – 1 Lazio 25 Nov 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Ciro Immobile	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Gustav Isaksen	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Mattia Zaccagni	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Pedro	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Mattia Zaccagni	fouls drawn	1+	87%	3	✓
Antonio Candreva	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Daichi Kamada	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Felipe Anderson	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Valentín Castellanos	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Lassana Coulibaly	fouls committed	1+	77%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	56%	8 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	45%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	45%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Salernitana & Lazio player stats→ Salernitana players & stats→ Lazio players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works