Serie A · 23/24

Lazio v Salernitana

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Lazio4 – 1 Salernitana 12 Apr 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	98%	3	✓
Matías Vecino	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Loum Tchaouna	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Antonio Candreva	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Luis Alberto	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi	fouls committed	1+	84%	2	✓
Daichi Kamada	shots total	1+	84%	0	✗
Matías Vecino	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Felipe Anderson	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Valentín Castellanos	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Mateusz Łęgowski	fouls committed	1+	79%	0	✗
Giulio Maggiore	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓
Lorenzo Pirola	fouls committed	1+	77%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	55%	1 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	55%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Lazio & Salernitana player stats→ Lazio players & stats→ Salernitana players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works