SSC Napoli v Salernitana
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Raspadori | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Giovanni Simeone | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Matteo Politano | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Alessio Zerbin | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gianluca Gaetano | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alessio Zerbin | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jens-Lys Cajuste | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Simy | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Loum Tchaouna | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mateusz Łęgowski | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jens-Lys Cajuste | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Giovanni Simeone | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 64% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 49% | 5 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 47% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Salernitana 0–2 SSC Napoli Nov 2023
- SSC Napoli 1–1 Salernitana Apr 2023
- Salernitana 0–2 SSC Napoli Jan 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.