What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Joel Pohjanpalo has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Joel Pohjanpalo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona27 Jan | 87 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Parma19 Jan | 88 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Inter12 Jan | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Empoli4 Jan | 90 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli29 Dec | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cagliari22 Dec | 84 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Juventus14 Dec | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Como8 Dec | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bologna30 Nov | 85 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lecce25 Nov | 83 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Joel Pohjanpalo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Joel Pohjanpalo has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Joel Pohjanpalo average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Joel Pohjanpalo is averaging 0.80 shots on target and 2.39 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Joel Pohjanpalo get booked?
Joel Pohjanpalo is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Joel Pohjanpalo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Joel Pohjanpalo commits 0.91 fouls per 90 and wins 0.57 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joel Pohjanpalo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joel Pohjanpalo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.