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Serie A 25/26
MA

Marius Marin

Central midfielder 100% of 18 recent starts PisaSerie A 25/26

Last games
max 23 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls won1.15 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed3.11 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.6×
Tackles3.44 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.82 per 90
50%
5 of 103.6×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Marius Marin has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 50% (5 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Marius Marin in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Marius MarinPisa 230.21 2.51
Jean Daniel Akpa-AkproHellas Verona 220.78 2.33
Roberto GagliardiniCagliari 290.61 1.83
Luca LipaniSassuolo 241.05 2.45
Aster VranckxSassuolo 160.39 2.08
Neil El AynaouiRB Leipzig 250.54 2.08
These 5, combined 0.68 2.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marius Marin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Cagliari15 Mar 16 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Juventus7 Mar 60 0 0 1 0 4 1
Bologna2 Mar 90 0 1 3 0 3 0
@ Fiorentina23 Feb 90 0 0 5 1 4 1
@ Hellas Verona6 Feb 15 0 1 2 0 1 1
Sassuolo31 Jan 45 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Inter23 Jan 45 0 0 1 1 3 1
Atalanta16 Jan 68 0 0 2 2 3 0
@ Udinese10 Jan 57 0 0 3 1 2 1
Como6 Jan 63 0 0 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Alberto Ruben Arena 3 games Marius Marin never booked

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Serie A official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marius Marin have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Marius Marin has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marius Marin average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Marius Marin is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marius Marin get booked?

Marius Marin is averaging 0.82 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marius Marin commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Marius Marin commits 3.11 fouls per 90 and wins 1.15 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marius Marin?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marius Marin plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.