Mattia Destro
Over his last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Destro has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, and 1+ foul won in 30%. He has been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mattia Destro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma26 May | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Lazio12 May | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Inter1 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan10 Mar | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cagliari3 Mar | 58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sassuolo24 Feb | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Genoa3 Feb | 19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Lazio22 Dec | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Torino16 Dec | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sassuolo26 Nov | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Mattia Destro have a shot on target?
Over his last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Destro has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Mattia Destro average?
Across his last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Destro is averaging 1.57 shots on target and 2.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mattia Destro get booked?
Mattia Destro is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mattia Destro commit or win more fouls?
Over his last 10 games Mattia Destro commits 1.57 fouls per 90 and wins 1.57 — about as many as he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mattia Destro?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mattia Destro plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.