What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, M'Baye Niang has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games M'Baye Niang featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma26 May | 45 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Udinese19 May | 60 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frosinone5 May | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta28 Apr | 61 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli20 Apr | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lecce13 Apr | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Torino6 Apr | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter1 Apr | 82 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna15 Mar | 75 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan10 Mar | 76 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does M'Baye Niang have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, M'Baye Niang has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does M'Baye Niang average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, M'Baye Niang is averaging 0.78 shots on target and 2.51 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does M'Baye Niang get booked?
M'Baye Niang is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does M'Baye Niang commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games M'Baye Niang commits 1.57 fouls per 90 and wins 2.51 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for M'Baye Niang?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. M'Baye Niang plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.