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Bundesliga 24/25
AL

Alexander Bernhardsson

Striker 47% of 15 recent starts Holstein KielBundesliga 24/25

Last games
max 19 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.25 per 90
70%
7 of 101.7×
Total shots2.12 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
Fouls won1.50 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.9×
Fouls committed1.00 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Tackles1.75 per 90
70%
7 of 102.2×
40%
4 of 104.7×
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.62 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Alexander Bernhardsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Alexander Bernhardsson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Borussia Dortmund17 May 78 1 1 0 1 3 0
SC Freiburg10 May 90 1 1 0 1 1 0
@ FC Augsburg4 May 56 2 3 2 1 2 0
Borussia M'gladbach26 Apr 89 3 4 0 2 1 0
@ RB Leipzig19 Apr 87 0 2 0 1 4 0
FC St. Pauli12 Apr 90 1 2 2 3 2 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 055 Apr 68 1 1 1 0 1 0
SV Werder Bremen29 Mar 90 0 1 2 0 0 1
@ 1. FC Heidenheim16 Mar 45 1 1 1 2 0 0
VfB Stuttgart8 Mar 27 0 1 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Harm Osmers 3 games Alexander Bernhardsson never booked 4.30cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Alexander Bernhardsson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Alexander Bernhardsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Alexander Bernhardsson average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Alexander Bernhardsson is averaging 1.25 shots on target and 2.12 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Alexander Bernhardsson get booked?

Alexander Bernhardsson is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Alexander Bernhardsson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Alexander Bernhardsson commits 1.00 fouls per 90 and wins 1.50 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alexander Bernhardsson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alexander Bernhardsson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.