What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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In 25/26, Damion Downs has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 12 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 12), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 8%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 12). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Damion Downs in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damion DownsHamburger SV | 12 | 1.15 | 1.31 |
| Martijn KaarsFC St. Pauli | 29 | 1.58 | 0.53 |
| Andreas HountondjiBurnley | 21 | 1.74 | 0.75 |
| Tim Skarke1. FC Union Berlin | 22 | 2.04 | 1.16 |
| Jovan MiloševićSV Werder Bremen | 13 | 2.16 | 1.44 |
| Oliver Burke1. FC Union Berlin | 29 | 1.76 | 0.53 |
| These 5, combined | 1.78 | 0.74 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Damion Downs featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt2 May | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim25 Apr | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen18 Apr | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund21 Mar | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln14 Mar | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg7 Mar | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen4 Mar | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig1 Mar | 67 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim7 Feb | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli23 Jan | 68 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Damion Downs have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Damion Downs has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 12 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 12). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Damion Downs average?
Across 12 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Damion Downs is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 1.15 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Damion Downs get booked?
Damion Downs is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Damion Downs commit or win more fouls?
This season Damion Downs commits 1.31 fouls per 90 and wins 0.16 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Damion Downs?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Damion Downs plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.