What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship forward, 25/26, 3,914 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Damion Downs has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Damion Downs has no Championship record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Championship strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damion DownsHamburger SVBundesliga | 12 | 1.15 | 1.31 |
| Patrick BamfordSheffield United | 7 | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers | 7 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaWatford | 8 | 1.29 | 2.21 |
| Tyreece CampbellCharlton Athletic | 8 | 1.79 | 1.10 |
| Sam DalbyBolton Wanderers | 8 | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| These 5, combined | 1.48 | 1.42 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Damion Downs featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester25 Nov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Charlton Athletic22 Nov | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday8 Nov | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers5 Nov | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston North End1 Nov | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City21 Oct | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Derby County4 Oct | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City20 Sep | 62 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Watford30 Aug | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Stoke City23 Aug | 45 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Damion Downs have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Damion Downs has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Damion Downs average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Damion Downs is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 2.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Damion Downs get booked?
Damion Downs is averaging 0.37 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Damion Downs commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Damion Downs commits 1.47 fouls per 90 and wins 0.37 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Damion Downs?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Damion Downs plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.