What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga wide centre-back, 25/26, 757 appearances
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Evan Ndicka has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Evan Ndicka has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan NdickaAS RomaUEFA Europa League | 10 | 0.60 | 1.68 |
| Leopold Querfeld1. FC Union Berlin | 31 | 0.97 | 1.53 |
| Konstantinos KoulierakisAS Roma | 31 | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Aurèle AmendaCoventry City | 24 | 0.53 | 1.18 |
| Jeff ChabotVfB Stuttgart | 27 | 0.71 | 1.37 |
| Keven SchlotterbeckSouthampton | 24 | 0.53 | 1.15 |
| These 5, combined | 0.76 | 1.27 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Evan Ndicka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg27 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC Schalke 0420 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 0513 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim6 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen8 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Bochum 184831 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Union Berlin19 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart11 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg5 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen18 Feb | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Evan Ndicka have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Evan Ndicka has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Evan Ndicka average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Evan Ndicka is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Evan Ndicka get booked?
Evan Ndicka is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Evan Ndicka commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Evan Ndicka commits 0.60 fouls per 90 and wins 0.50 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Evan Ndicka?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Evan Ndicka plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.