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Bundesliga 25/26
KR

Kristoffer Lund

Wing-back 54% of 26 recent starts Birmingham CityBundesliga 25/26

Also in: Championship

Next match
Birmingham City vs Borussia M'gladbach›
Sun 11 OctReferee Florian Badstubner

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 33 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wing-back, 25/26, 863 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Total shots0.48 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls won1.43 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Fouls committed0.48 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.90 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
10%
1 of 102.0×
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Kristoffer Lund has hit 1+ shot on target in 9% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 33), 1+ total shot in 39%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 6% (2 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Kristoffer Lund in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 34 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Kristoffer LundBirmingham City 330.79 0.51
Robin FellhauerFC Augsburg 340.96 0.77
Arkadiusz PyrkaFC St. Pauli 310.66 0.59
Phillipp Mwene1. FSV Mainz 05 290.43 1.00
Nathaniel BrownFC Bayern München 330.61 0.91
Felix AguSV Werder Bremen 110.24 0.97
These 5, combined 0.65 0.82

Recent matches

The last 10 games Kristoffer Lund featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Bayern München16 May 90 0 0 1 3 2 0
1. FC Heidenheim10 May 89 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin2 May 80 0 0 0 1 0 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen25 Apr 72 0 0 0 2 1 0
@ FC St. Pauli17 Apr 20 0 0 0 1 1 0
SV Werder Bremen12 Apr 45 0 0 2 1 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt5 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
Borussia M'gladbach21 Mar 90 0 1 0 1 2 0
@ Hamburger SV14 Mar 90 0 0 1 1 3 1
Borussia Dortmund7 Mar 90 1 2 0 2 2 0
Officials on record
Bastian Dankert 3 games Kristoffer Lund never booked 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Tobias Reichel 3 games Kristoffer Lund never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Kristoffer Lund have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Kristoffer Lund has hit 1+ shot on target in 9% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Kristoffer Lund average?

Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Kristoffer Lund is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.79 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Kristoffer Lund get booked?

Kristoffer Lund is averaging 0.08 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Kristoffer Lund commit or win more fouls?

This season Kristoffer Lund commits 0.51 fouls per 90 and wins 1.53 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kristoffer Lund?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kristoffer Lund plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.