Lucas Alario
Forward · Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga 22/23
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga forward, 25/26 · 2,440 appearances
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lucas Alario has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Alario featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia M'gladbach15 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen8 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Bochum 184831 Mar | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Union Berlin19 Mar | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart11 Mar | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig25 Feb | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen18 Feb | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln12 Feb | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hertha BSC4 Feb | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg25 Jan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Alario have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lucas Alario has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Alario average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lucas Alario is averaging 1.96 shots on target and 2.93 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Alario get booked?
Lucas Alario is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Alario commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Alario commits 2.93 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Alario?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Alario plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.