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Bundesliga 26/27
MA

Malik Tillman

Attacking midfielder 90% of 20 recent starts Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga 26/27

Next match
Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FSV Mainz 05›
Sat 10 OctReferee Max Burda

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 32 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.92 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
2.20MGMEdge
Total shots1.85 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.21MGMEdge
Fouls won1.85 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
1.12bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.85 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.40bet365Edge
Tackles1.54 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.31 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.31 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.31 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Malik Tillman has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 29), 1+ total shot in 72%, 1+ foul committed in 45%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 7% (2 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Malik Tillman in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 41 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Malik TillmanBayer 04 Leverkusen 291.81 0.96
Ibrahim MazaBayer 04 Leverkusen 282.61 0.92
Arijon IbrahimovićFC Augsburg 321.94 0.54
Woo-Yeong Jeong1. FC Union Berlin 281.64 0.97
Kevin StögerBorussia M'gladbach 291.54 1.54
Lucas HölerSC Freiburg 331.48 1.31
These 5, combined 1.87 1.02

Recent matches

The last 10 games Malik Tillman featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Augsburg12 Sep 15 0 1 1 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin5 Sep 67 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ SV 07 Elversberg29 Aug 65 0 1 1 3 2 0
Hamburger SV16 May 62 1 1 2 1 1 0
@ VfB Stuttgart9 May 25 1 1 1 1 0 0
RB Leipzig2 May 10 0 0 0 0 1 1
@ 1. FC Köln25 Apr 29 0 0 0 0 1 0
FC Augsburg18 Apr 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund11 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
VfL Wolfsburg4 Apr 9 1 1 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Benjamin Brand 3 games Malik Tillman never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Christian Dingert 3 games Malik Tillman never booked 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Robert Hartmann 3 games Malik Tillman never booked 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league
Robin Braun 3 games Malik Tillman never booked

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Malik Tillman have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Malik Tillman has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Malik Tillman average?

Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Malik Tillman is averaging 0.69 shots on target and 1.81 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Malik Tillman get booked?

Malik Tillman is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Malik Tillman commit or win more fouls?

This season Malik Tillman commits 0.96 fouls per 90 and wins 1.55 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Malik Tillman?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Malik Tillman plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.