What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marc Kempf has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Marc Kempf has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marc KempfComoSerie A | 34 | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| Patrick Mainka1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Matthias GinterSC Freiburg | 32 | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| Denis VavroVfL Wolfsburg | 19 | 0.83 | 0.64 |
| Willi OrbánRB Leipzig | 33 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| Cenk Özkaçar1. FC Köln | 25 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| These 5, combined | 0.75 | 0.52 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marc Kempf featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ VfL Wolfsburg27 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln12 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart6 May | 76 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen22 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ FC Schalke 0414 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig8 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg1 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 0511 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg25 Feb | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marc Kempf have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marc Kempf has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marc Kempf average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marc Kempf is averaging 0.31 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marc Kempf get booked?
Marc Kempf is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marc Kempf commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Marc Kempf commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 0.92 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marc Kempf?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marc Kempf plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.