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Bundesliga 26/27
MA

Marius Wolf

Wing-back 93% of 30 recent starts FC AugsburgBundesliga 26/27

Next match
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München›
Sat 10 OctReferee Sven Jablonski

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wing-back, 25/26, 863 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
4.10MGMEdge
Total shots0.64 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.62bet365Edge
Fouls won0.64 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.50bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.96 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.80bet365Edge
Tackles1.76 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
10%
1 of 102.0×
Cards0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
6.00PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Marius Wolf has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 29), 1+ total shot in 45%, 1+ foul committed in 28%, 1+ foul won in 7%, and been booked in 14% (4 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Marius Wolf in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 34 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Marius WolfFC Augsburg 291.21 0.87
William MikelbrencisHamburger SV 260.77 1.15
Silvan Widmer1. FSV Mainz 05 270.99 0.74
Lorenz AssignonVfB Stuttgart 240.97 1.54
Derrick Köhn1. FC Union Berlin 291.32 1.55
Bakery JattaHamburger SV 151.08 1.27
These 5, combined 1.04 1.23

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marius Wolf featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SV Werder Bremen19 Sep 74 0 0 0 2 1 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen12 Sep 77 0 0 0 2 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt6 Sep 72 0 0 2 0 0 0
FC Schalke 0430 Aug 89 1 2 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin16 May 61 0 0 2 0 3 0
Borussia M'gladbach9 May 62 0 0 1 0 4 1
@ SV Werder Bremen2 May 24 0 1 0 0 1 0
Eintracht Frankfurt25 Apr 17 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen18 Apr 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim10 Apr 79 0 0 1 0 0 1
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 9 games Marius Wolf booked in 1 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Harm Osmers 9 games Marius Wolf never booked 4.30cards/game 1.06×vs league
Daniel Schlager 8 games Marius Wolf booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Tobias Welz 7 games Marius Wolf booked in 2 4.75cards/game 1.17×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marius Wolf have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Marius Wolf has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marius Wolf average?

Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Marius Wolf is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 1.21 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marius Wolf get booked?

Marius Wolf is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marius Wolf commit or win more fouls?

This season Marius Wolf commits 0.87 fouls per 90 and wins 0.17 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marius Wolf?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marius Wolf plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.