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Bundesliga 25/26
MA

Mathias Honsak

Winger 33% of 30 recent starts 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.02 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots2.29 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
Fouls won1.53 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Fouls committed0.51 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Tackles1.02 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.51 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.25 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Mathias Honsak has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 27 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 27), 1+ total shot in 63%, 1+ foul committed in 26%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 4% (1 of 27). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Mathias Honsak in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Mathias Honsak1. FC Heidenheim 272.21 0.79
Adam DaghimVfL Wolfsburg 291.75 1.11
Jean-Mattéo BahoyaLeeds United 271.96 0.88
Samuel MbangulaBologna 261.29 0.30
Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig 132.62 1.19
Giovanni ReynaRC Strasbourg 191.20 0.86
These 5, combined 1.77 0.86

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mathias Honsak featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 0516 May 17 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln10 May 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg19 Apr 76 1 3 1 1 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr 77 2 2 0 1 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach4 Apr 62 1 1 0 0 2 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt14 Mar 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim7 Mar 45 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ SV Werder Bremen28 Feb 16 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg15 Feb 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hamburger SV7 Feb 27 0 1 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Sven Jablonski 6 games Mathias Honsak never booked 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Robert Hartmann 5 games Mathias Honsak booked in 1 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league
Frank Willenborg 5 games Mathias Honsak never booked 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league
Patrick Ittrich 5 games Mathias Honsak never booked 3.34cards/game 0.82×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Mathias Honsak have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Mathias Honsak has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 27 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 27). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mathias Honsak average?

Across 27 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Mathias Honsak is averaging 0.57 shots on target and 2.21 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mathias Honsak get booked?

Mathias Honsak is averaging 0.07 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mathias Honsak commit or win more fouls?

This season Mathias Honsak commits 0.79 fouls per 90 and wins 1.07 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathias Honsak?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathias Honsak plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.