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Bundesliga 25/26
MA

Mathias Pereira Lage

Attacking midfielder 40% of 25 recent starts FC St. PauliBundesliga 25/26

Also in: Ligue 1

Last games
max 28 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.41 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
Total shots1.91 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
Fouls won0.82 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed0.82 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Tackles1.37 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
10%
1 of 100.9×
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.27 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Mathias Pereira Lage has hit 1+ shot on target in 46% of 28 Bundesliga appearances (13 of 28), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 64%, 1+ foul won in 68%, and been booked in 11% (3 of 28). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Mathias Pereira Lage in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Mathias Pereira LageFC St. Pauli 281.91 1.37
Marvin PieringerSC Paderborn 07 271.74 2.01
RômuloRB Leipzig 302.57 0.82
Mohamed AmouraNice 322.73 1.00
Budu Zivzivadze1. FC Heidenheim 202.20 1.18
Benedict Hollerbach1. FSV Mainz 05 142.24 1.84
These 5, combined 2.35 1.28

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mathias Pereira Lage featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Köln17 Apr 87 0 4 1 0 2 1
FC Bayern München11 Apr 88 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin5 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 2 0
SC Freiburg22 Mar 84 0 1 2 1 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach13 Mar 67 0 0 1 0 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt8 Mar 90 0 3 2 3 1 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim28 Feb 75 1 3 0 0 2 0
SV Werder Bremen22 Feb 37 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg31 Jan 27 0 0 0 1 0 0
RB Leipzig27 Jan 14 0 0 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Matthias Jollenbeck 3 games Mathias Pereira Lage booked in 2 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league
Sören Storks 3 games Mathias Pereira Lage never booked 4.72cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Mathias Pereira Lage have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Mathias Pereira Lage has hit 1+ shot on target in 46% of 28 Bundesliga appearances (13 of 28). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mathias Pereira Lage average?

Across 28 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Mathias Pereira Lage is averaging 0.67 shots on target and 1.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mathias Pereira Lage get booked?

Mathias Pereira Lage is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mathias Pereira Lage commit or win more fouls?

This season Mathias Pereira Lage commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 1.42 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathias Pereira Lage?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathias Pereira Lage plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.