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Bundesliga · 25/26
MA

Mathias Pereira Lage

Forward · FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Mathias Pereira Lage has hit 1+ shot on target in 46% of 28 Bundesliga appearances (13 of 28), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 64%, 1+ foul won in 68%, and been booked in 11% (3 of 28). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 28 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.41
70%7 of 10
1.91
40%4 of 10
0.82
40%4 of 10
0.82
10%1 of 10
0.14
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mathias Pereira Lage featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
1. FC Köln17 Apr 87 0 4 1 0 1
FC Bayern München11 Apr 88 0 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin5 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 0
SC Freiburg22 Mar 84 0 1 2 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach13 Mar 67 0 0 1 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt8 Mar 90 0 3 2 3 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim28 Feb 75 1 3 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen22 Feb 37 1 1 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg31 Jan 27 0 0 0 1 0
RB Leipzig27 Jan 14 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Matthias Jollenbeck 3 games · Mathias Pereira Lage booked in 2 4.00cards/game 0.98×vs league
Sören Storks 3 games · Mathias Pereira Lage never booked 4.77cards/game 1.17×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Mathias Pereira Lage have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Mathias Pereira Lage has hit 1+ shot on target in 46% of 28 Bundesliga appearances (13 of 28). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Mathias Pereira Lage average?

Across 28 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Mathias Pereira Lage is averaging 0.67 shots on target and 1.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mathias Pereira Lage get booked?

Mathias Pereira Lage is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mathias Pereira Lage commit or win more fouls?

This season Mathias Pereira Lage commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 1.42 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathias Pereira Lage?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mathias Pereira Lage plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.