What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Mathias Pereira Lage has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Mathias Pereira Lage has no Ligue 1 record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Ligue 1 strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Pereira LageFC St. PauliBundesliga | 28 | 1.91 | 1.37 |
| Joaquin PanichelliRC Strasbourg | 27 | 2.42 | 1.76 |
| Issa SoumaréStade Rennais | 34 | 2.35 | 1.71 |
| Martín SatrianoGetafe | 11 | 2.05 | 1.41 |
| Lassine SinayokoParis FC | 32 | 2.98 | 0.94 |
| Breel EmboloStade Rennais | 31 | 1.97 | 2.31 |
| These 5, combined | 2.44 | 1.60 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mathias Pereira Lage featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Nice17 May | 64 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lille10 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Montpellier4 May | 90 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille27 Apr | 77 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| RC Lens20 Apr | 86 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Saint-Étienne13 Apr | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| AS Monaco5 Apr | 84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Toulouse30 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Stade de Reims16 Mar | 88 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Angers9 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mathias Pereira Lage have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Mathias Pereira Lage has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mathias Pereira Lage average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Mathias Pereira Lage is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 1.95 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mathias Pereira Lage get booked?
Mathias Pereira Lage is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mathias Pereira Lage commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mathias Pereira Lage commits 1.30 fouls per 90 and wins 1.30 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathias Pereira Lage?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathias Pereira Lage plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.