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Bundesliga 23/24
MA

Matthias Bader

Wing-back 76% of 21 recent starts Darmstadt 98Bundesliga 23/24

Last games
max 24 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wing-back, 25/26, 863 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.69 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls won1.49 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls committed0.92 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles3.10 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthias Bader has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Matthias Bader featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Borussia Dortmund18 May 90 0 0 0 3 4 0
@ 1. FC Köln20 Apr 90 0 1 1 3 3 0
SC Freiburg14 Apr 73 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 056 Apr 75 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ VfL Bochum 184831 Mar 17 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ SV Werder Bremen24 Feb 90 0 0 3 0 2 0
VfB Stuttgart17 Feb 90 0 0 2 1 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach10 Feb 79 0 1 1 1 5 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen3 Feb 90 0 0 0 1 6 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin28 Jan 90 0 2 1 1 3 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 3 games Matthias Bader never booked 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 3 games Matthias Bader never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Matthias Bader have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthias Bader has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Matthias Bader average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthias Bader is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.69 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Matthias Bader get booked?

Matthias Bader is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Matthias Bader commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Matthias Bader commits 0.92 fouls per 90 and wins 1.49 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matthias Bader?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matthias Bader plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.