Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 25/26
MA

Mattias Svanberg

Central midfielder 73% of 30 recent starts VfL WolfsburgBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 100.9×
Total shots1.41 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Fouls won2.35 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
Fouls committed1.41 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.17 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.70 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
Goals0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, Mattias Svanberg has hit 1+ shot on target in 31% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 26), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 23% (6 of 26). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Mattias Svanberg in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Mattias SvanbergVfL Wolfsburg 261.93 1.75
Grischa PrömelVfB Stuttgart 332.21 1.18
Ezechiel BanzuziRB Leipzig 242.26 2.11
Elvis RexhbeçajFC Augsburg 260.88 1.04
Luca Kerber1. FC Heidenheim 181.00 1.50
Eric Martel1. FSV Mainz 05 310.81 1.47
These 5, combined 1.33 1.39

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mattias Svanberg featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SC Paderborn 0725 May 81 0 0 2 2 1 1
SC Paderborn 0721 May 65 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ FC St. Pauli16 May 67 1 3 0 1 0 0
FC Bayern München9 May 23 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg3 May 18 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen4 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Augsburg21 Feb 65 0 0 3 3 2 1
@ RB Leipzig15 Feb 30 1 1 0 0 0 0
Borussia Dortmund7 Feb 12 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0524 Jan 14 0 0 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 8 games Mattias Svanberg booked in 2 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Felix Zwayer 7 games Mattias Svanberg booked in 2 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 7 games Mattias Svanberg never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Martin Petersen 6 games Mattias Svanberg booked in 1 4.60cards/game 1.13×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Mattias Svanberg have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Mattias Svanberg has hit 1+ shot on target in 31% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 26). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mattias Svanberg average?

Across 26 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Mattias Svanberg is averaging 0.70 shots on target and 1.93 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mattias Svanberg get booked?

Mattias Svanberg is averaging 0.61 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mattias Svanberg commit or win more fouls?

This season Mattias Svanberg commits 1.75 fouls per 90 and wins 2.10 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mattias Svanberg?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mattias Svanberg plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.