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Bundesliga · 25/26
MA

Maximilian Arnold

Midfielder · VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Maximilian Arnold has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 25), 1+ total shot in 48%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 56%, and been booked in 20% (5 of 25). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.18
50%5 of 10
0.88
50%5 of 10
0.88
10%1 of 10
0.18
10%1 of 10
0.18
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Maximilian Arnold featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ 1. FC Union Berlin18 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt11 Apr 17 0 1 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen4 Apr 9 0 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen21 Mar 11 0 1 0 1 0
Hamburger SV7 Mar 13 0 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig15 Feb 90 0 0 0 1 0
Borussia Dortmund7 Feb 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln30 Jan 90 0 1 0 1 0
1. FC Heidenheim17 Jan 90 1 1 1 0 1
FC St. Pauli14 Jan 90 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 8 games · Maximilian Arnold booked in 2 4.02cards/game 0.98×vs league
Daniel Siebert 8 games · Maximilian Arnold never booked 4.25cards/game 1.04×vs league
Felix Zwayer 7 games · Maximilian Arnold booked in 2 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league
Martin Petersen 7 games · Maximilian Arnold booked in 1 4.62cards/game 1.13×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Maximilian Arnold have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Maximilian Arnold has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 25). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Maximilian Arnold average?

Across 25 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Maximilian Arnold is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.68 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Maximilian Arnold get booked?

Maximilian Arnold is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Maximilian Arnold commit or win more fouls?

This season Maximilian Arnold commits 0.82 fouls per 90 and wins 1.26 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Maximilian Arnold?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Maximilian Arnold plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.