Maximilian Arnold
Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts VfL WolfsburgBundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances
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In 25/26, Maximilian Arnold has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 25), 1+ total shot in 48%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 56%, and been booked in 20% (5 of 25). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Maximilian Arnold in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian ArnoldVfL Wolfsburg | 25 | 0.68 | 0.82 |
| Marcel SabitzerBorussia Dortmund | 26 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Han-Noah MassengoFC Augsburg | 33 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Joshua KimmichFC Bayern München | 29 | 1.11 | 0.32 |
| Exequiel PalaciosIpswich Town | 18 | 0.82 | 0.49 |
| Patrick OsterhageSC Freiburg | 20 | 0.53 | 0.98 |
| These 5, combined | 0.87 | 0.73 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Maximilian Arnold featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ 1. FC Union Berlin18 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt11 Apr | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen4 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen21 Mar | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamburger SV7 Mar | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig15 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund7 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln30 Jan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim17 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| FC St. Pauli14 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Maximilian Arnold have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Maximilian Arnold has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 25). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Maximilian Arnold average?
Across 25 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Maximilian Arnold is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.68 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Maximilian Arnold get booked?
Maximilian Arnold is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Maximilian Arnold commit or win more fouls?
This season Maximilian Arnold commits 0.82 fouls per 90 and wins 1.26 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Maximilian Arnold?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Maximilian Arnold plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.