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Bundesliga 26/27
NI

Nicolás Capaldo

Wide centre-back 79% of 28 recent starts Hamburger SVBundesliga 26/27

Next match
Hamburger SV at TSG Hoffenheim›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 30 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wide centre-back, 25/26, 757 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
4.33bet365Edge
Total shots0.88 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.80bet365Edge
Fouls won1.86 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
1.22bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.08 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.6×
1.29bet365Edge
Tackles3.18 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
10%
1 of 103.6×
Cards0.55 per 90
50%
5 of 102.4×
2.62bet365Edge
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.8×
form only
Assists0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 106.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Nicolás Capaldo has hit 1+ shot on target in 19% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 26), 1+ total shot in 54%, 1+ foul committed in 69%, 1+ foul won in 77%, and been booked in 38% (10 of 26). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Nicolás Capaldo in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nicolás CapaldoHamburger SV 260.99 1.39
Dominik Kohr1. FSV Mainz 05 290.58 1.54
Noahkai BanksFC Augsburg 230.47 1.50
Diogo LeiteLazio 230.46 1.14
Ramy BensebainiBorussia Dortmund 211.00 1.82
Nico SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund 281.14 1.07
These 5, combined 0.74 1.38

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nicolás Capaldo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Köln19 Sep 90 1 1 2 1 4 0
@ RB Leipzig13 Sep 90 0 1 3 5 1 1
1. FSV Mainz 056 Sep 90 0 0 3 5 4 0
@ Borussia Dortmund29 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 3 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen16 May 90 2 3 2 1 1 1
SC Freiburg10 May 90 0 0 1 0 3 1
@ Eintracht Frankfurt2 May 90 0 1 2 1 4 1
TSG Hoffenheim25 Apr 90 0 1 3 4 5 0
@ SV Werder Bremen18 Apr 83 0 1 2 0 4 0
@ VfB Stuttgart12 Apr 18 0 0 0 0 0 1
Officials on record
Tobias Stieler 3 games Nicolás Capaldo booked in 1 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nicolás Capaldo have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Nicolás Capaldo has hit 1+ shot on target in 19% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 26). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nicolás Capaldo average?

Across 26 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Nicolás Capaldo is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 0.99 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nicolás Capaldo get booked?

Nicolás Capaldo is averaging 0.45 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nicolás Capaldo commit or win more fouls?

This season Nicolás Capaldo commits 1.39 fouls per 90 and wins 2.06 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolás Capaldo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolás Capaldo plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.