Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 25/26
NI

Niklas Dorsch

Central midfielder 87% of 30 recent starts 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls won1.24 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls committed1.24 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles1.49 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, Niklas Dorsch has hit 1+ shot on target in 6% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 32), 1+ total shot in 25%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 56%, and been booked in 6% (2 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Niklas Dorsch in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Niklas Dorsch1. FC Heidenheim 320.56 1.19
Denis Huseinbašić1. FC Köln 150.73 0.98
Mathias RasmussenFC St. Pauli 130.77 0.77
Aljoscha Kemlein1. FC Union Berlin 300.78 1.01
Jobe BellinghamBorussia Dortmund 320.95 0.75
Han-Noah MassengoFC Augsburg 330.74 0.92
These 5, combined 0.80 0.89

Recent matches

The last 10 games Niklas Dorsch featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 0516 May 73 0 0 0 2 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln10 May 90 0 0 0 2 1 0
@ FC Bayern München2 May 89 0 0 2 1 4 0
FC St. Pauli25 Apr 85 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ SC Freiburg19 Apr 76 0 1 1 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr 13 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach4 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 4 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen21 Mar 83 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt14 Mar 63 0 0 3 0 0 1
TSG Hoffenheim7 Mar 63 0 0 3 2 0 0
Officials on record
Matthias Jollenbeck 7 games Niklas Dorsch never booked 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league
Tobias Welz 6 games Niklas Dorsch booked in 2 4.75cards/game 1.17×vs league
Christian Dingert 6 games Niklas Dorsch booked in 1 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Frank Willenborg 6 games Niklas Dorsch booked in 1 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Niklas Dorsch have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Niklas Dorsch has hit 1+ shot on target in 6% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Niklas Dorsch average?

Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Niklas Dorsch is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Niklas Dorsch get booked?

Niklas Dorsch is averaging 0.08 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Niklas Dorsch commit or win more fouls?

This season Niklas Dorsch commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 1.07 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Niklas Dorsch?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Niklas Dorsch plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.