Sebastian Polter
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Sebastian Polter has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Sebastian Polter featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 056 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfL Bochum 184831 Mar | 28 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München16 Mar | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig9 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg2 Mar | 74 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen24 Feb | 89 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart17 Feb | 90 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach10 Feb | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen3 Feb | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig27 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Sebastian Polter have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Sebastian Polter has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Sebastian Polter average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Sebastian Polter is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 1.85 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Sebastian Polter get booked?
Sebastian Polter is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Sebastian Polter commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Sebastian Polter commits 1.85 fouls per 90 and wins 2.02 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sebastian Polter?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Sebastian Polter plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.