Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 25/26
WI

William Mikelbrencis

Wing-back 93% of 15 recent starts Hamburger SVBundesliga 25/26

Next match
Hamburger SV at TSG Hoffenheim›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 27 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wing-back, 25/26, 863 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Total shots0.36 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls won0.47 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.71 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles2.72 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.36 per 90
30%
3 of 103.4×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, William Mikelbrencis has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 26), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 15%, and been booked in 12% (3 of 26). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to William Mikelbrencis in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 34 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
William MikelbrencisHamburger SV 260.77 1.15
Bakery JattaHamburger SV 151.08 1.27
Lorenz AssignonVfB Stuttgart 240.97 1.54
ArthurSV Werder Bremen 200.80 1.51
Silvan Widmer1. FSV Mainz 05 270.99 0.74
Isaac SchmidtSV Werder Bremen 190.80 1.20
These 5, combined 0.94 1.19

Recent matches

The last 10 games William Mikelbrencis featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen16 May 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim25 Apr 75 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ SV Werder Bremen18 Apr 90 1 1 1 0 3 0
@ VfB Stuttgart12 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 4 0
FC Augsburg4 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 1 0
@ Borussia Dortmund21 Mar 89 0 0 1 1 3 1
1. FC Köln14 Mar 79 0 1 1 2 2 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg7 Mar 86 0 0 0 1 3 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen4 Mar 61 0 0 1 0 4 0
RB Leipzig1 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
Officials on record
Florian Exner 3 games William Mikelbrencis never booked 4.81cards/game 1.18×vs league
Tobias Stieler 3 games William Mikelbrencis never booked 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does William Mikelbrencis have a shot on target?

In 25/26, William Mikelbrencis has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 26). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does William Mikelbrencis average?

Across 26 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, William Mikelbrencis is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 0.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does William Mikelbrencis get booked?

William Mikelbrencis is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does William Mikelbrencis commit or win more fouls?

This season William Mikelbrencis commits 1.15 fouls per 90 and wins 0.32 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for William Mikelbrencis?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. William Mikelbrencis plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.