Blackburn Rovers v Coventry City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Blackburn Rovers drew with Coventry City 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Eiran Cashin for 1+ tackles (95%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Ellis Simms for 1+ shots total (95%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eiran Cashin | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Haji Wright | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ellis Simms | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Torp | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Romain Esse | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Yuki Ohashi | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jack Rudoni | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 3 | ✓ |
| Milan van Ewijk | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kristi Montgomery | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Romain Esse | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ephron Mason-Clark | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Frank Onyeka | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Romain Esse | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Moussa Baradji | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 61% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Coventry City 2–0 Blackburn Rovers Oct 2025
- Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Coventry City Jan 2025
- Coventry City 3–0 Blackburn Rovers Oct 2024
- Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Coventry City Apr 2024
- Coventry City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers Oct 2023
- Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Coventry City Apr 2023
- Coventry City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers Nov 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Blackburn Rovers v Coventry City?
7 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Blackburn Rovers v Coventry City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Ellis Simms at 95% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.