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Championship · 23/24

Blackburn Rovers v Huddersfield Town

How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Blackburn Rovers1 – 1 Huddersfield Town 20 Jan 2024
11/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Blackburn Rovers drew with Huddersfield Town 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Semir Telalović for 1+ shots total (79%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Sammie Szmodics for 1+ shots total (85%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
James Linington refereed this match 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league 82games
James Linington's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Sammie Szmodics shots total 1+ 85% 0
Josh Koroma shots total 1+ 84% 0
Semir Telalović shots total 1+ 79% 1
Sam Gallagher fouls committed 1+ 79% 1
Rhys Healey shots total 1+ 78% 3
Alex Matos shots total 1+ 77% 0
Sam Gallagher shots total 1+ 76% 2
Alex Matos fouls committed 1+ 74% 1
Jake Garrett shots total 1+ 73% 1
David Kasumu fouls committed 1+ 72% 1
David Kasumu fouls drawn 1+ 72% 1
Jack Rudoni shots total 1+ 71% 1
Rhys Healey fouls drawn 1+ 70% 1
Rhys Healey fouls committed 1+ 70% 1

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 54% 2 goals
BTTS Yes 54% Yes
Match cards O4.5 28% 3 cards

How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Blackburn Rovers v Huddersfield Town?

11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Blackburn Rovers v Huddersfield Town?

The most confident call it got wrong was Sammie Szmodics at 85% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.