Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield Wednesday
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Blackburn Rovers beat Sheffield Wednesday 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Eiran Cashin for 1+ tackles (95%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Dion De Neve for 1+ tackles (86%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eiran Cashin | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| Andri Guðjohnsen | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mathias Jørgensen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sondre Tronstad | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 7 | ✓ |
| Dion De Neve | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Todd Cantwell | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Todd Cantwell | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Moussa Baradji | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 5 | ✓ |
| Jerry Yates | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Moussa Baradji | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ryan Alebiosu | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lewis Miller | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yan Valery | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sean McLoughlin | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 58% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 54% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 17% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2025
- Blackburn Rovers 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday Apr 2025
- Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2024
- Blackburn Rovers 1–3 Sheffield Wednesday Apr 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield Wednesday?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield Wednesday?
The most confident call it got wrong was Dion De Neve at 86% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.