Blackpool v Norwich
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Blackpool lost to Norwich 0–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Josh Sargent for 1+ shots total (83%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Teemu Pukki for 1+ fouls committed (75%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
11 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Sargent | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Teemu Pukki | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 6 | ✓ |
| Marcelino Núñez | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Teemu Pukki | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marcelino Núñez | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gary Madine | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Theo Corbeanu | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Madine | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kenny Dougall | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jerry Yates | fouls committed | 1+ | 71% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kieran Dowell | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kieran Dowell | shots total | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Poveda | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 3 | ✓ |
| Callum Wright | fouls committed | 1+ | 69% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 26% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Norwich 0–1 Blackpool May 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Blackpool v Norwich?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Blackpool v Norwich?
The most confident call it got wrong was Teemu Pukki at 75% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.