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Championship · 23/24

Coventry City v Huddersfield Town

How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Coventry City1 – 1 Huddersfield Town 25 Sep 2023
12/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Coventry City drew with Huddersfield Town 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Haji Wright for 1+ shots total (80%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Matt Godden for 1+ shots total (81%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Oliver Langford refereed this match 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league 99games
Oliver Langford's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Matt Godden shots total 1+ 81% 0
Haji Wright shots total 1+ 80% 1
Ellis Simms shots total 1+ 80% 3
Josh Koroma shots total 1+ 77% 3
Delano Burgzorg fouls drawn 1+ 74% 0
Delano Burgzorg shots total 1+ 74% 1
Jack Rudoni fouls committed 1+ 70% 3
Yasin Ayari fouls drawn 1+ 69% 1
Jonathan Hogg fouls committed 1+ 69% 3
Haji Wright fouls committed 1+ 68% 1
Yasin Ayari shots total 1+ 68% 3
Liam Kelly fouls committed 1+ 67% 2
Jaheim Headley fouls committed 1+ 67% 3
Jack Rudoni shots total 1+ 65% 2

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls drawn · Fouls committed

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 55% 2 goals
BTTS Yes 49% Yes
Match cards O4.5 32% 5 cards

How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Coventry City v Huddersfield Town?

12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Coventry City v Huddersfield Town?

The most confident call it got wrong was Matt Godden at 81% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.