Oxford United v Sheffield United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Oxford United lost to Sheffield United 0–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Gustavo Hamer for 1+ shots total (76%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Siriki Dembélé for 1+ fouls drawn (81%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
10 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siriki Dembélé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gustavo Hamer | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tyrese Campbell | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Chiedozie Ogbene | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Siriki Dembélé | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gustavo Hamer | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 3 | ✓ |
| Will Lankshear | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 3 | ✓ |
| Will Lankshear | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sydie Peck | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Will Lankshear | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 4 | ✓ |
| Przemysław Płacheta | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nik Prelec | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Callum O'Hare | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stanley Mills | fouls committed | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Shots total · Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 47% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 41% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 20% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield United 3–1 Oxford United Feb 2026
- Oxford United 1–0 Sheffield United Apr 2025
- Sheffield United 3–0 Oxford United Nov 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Oxford United v Sheffield United?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Oxford United v Sheffield United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Siriki Dembélé at 81% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.