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Championship · 23/24

Preston North End v Huddersfield Town

How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Preston North End4 – 1 Huddersfield Town 9 Apr 2024
9/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Preston North End beat Huddersfield Town 4–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Josh Koroma for 1+ shots total (83%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Rhys Healey for 1+ shots total (81%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Lewis Smith refereed this match 3.70cards/game 0.92×vs league 50games
Lewis Smith's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Josh Koroma shots total 1+ 83% 2
David Kasumu fouls drawn 1+ 82% 1
Rhys Healey shots total 1+ 81% 0
David Kasumu fouls committed 1+ 80% 3
Delano Burgzorg shots total 1+ 79% 1
Alex Matos fouls drawn 1+ 79% 0
Mads Frøkjær fouls committed 1+ 78% 2
Sorba Thomas fouls drawn 1+ 78% 2
Rhys Healey fouls drawn 1+ 76% 1
Alex Matos fouls committed 1+ 75% 1
Emil Riis Jacobsen shots total 1+ 74% 0
Ali McCann fouls committed 1+ 73% 1
Josh Koroma fouls drawn 1+ 73% 0
Rhys Healey fouls committed 1+ 71% 0

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls drawn · Fouls committed

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
BTTS Yes 40% Yes
Match cards O4.5 34% 5 cards
Match goals O2.5 32% 5 goals

How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Preston North End v Huddersfield Town?

9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Preston North End v Huddersfield Town?

The most confident call it got wrong was Rhys Healey at 81% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.