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Championship · 23/24

Queens Park Rangers v Huddersfield Town

How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Queens Park Rangers1 – 1 Huddersfield Town 28 Jan 2024
9/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Queens Park Rangers drew with Huddersfield Town 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Paul Smyth for 1+ fouls drawn (82%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Lyndon Dykes for 1+ shots total (80%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Stephen Martin refereed this match 4.50cards/game 1.12×vs league 96games
Stephen Martin's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Paul Smyth fouls drawn 1+ 82% 1
Ilias Chair shots total 1+ 81% 1
Sinclair Armstrong shots total 1+ 80% 1
Lyndon Dykes shots total 1+ 80% 0
Jack Colback fouls committed 1+ 75% 2
Rhys Healey shots total 1+ 75% 4
Alex Matos fouls committed 1+ 74% 4
Bojan Radulović shots total 1+ 74% 1
Rhys Healey fouls drawn 1+ 74% 1
Alex Matos fouls drawn 1+ 73% 0
Paul Smyth fouls committed 1+ 73% 0
Paul Smyth shots total 1+ 72% 0
Rhys Healey fouls committed 1+ 72% 3
Jonathan Hogg fouls committed 1+ 72% 0

How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Shots total · Fouls committed

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 37% 7 cards
BTTS Yes 35% Yes
Match goals O2.5 27% 2 goals

How these are modelled: Match cards · BTTS

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Queens Park Rangers v Huddersfield Town?

9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Queens Park Rangers v Huddersfield Town?

The most confident call it got wrong was Lyndon Dykes at 80% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.