Queens Park Rangers v Oxford United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Queens Park Rangers drew with Oxford United 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Michael Frey for 1+ fouls committed (86%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Koki Saito for 1+ fouls drawn (77%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Frey | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Siriki Dembélé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Richard Kone | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Isaac Hayden | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Will Lankshear | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Frey | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Koki Saito | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Will Lankshear | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Siriki Dembélé | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rumarn Burrell | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Richard Kone | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Karamoko Dembélé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Koki Saito | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Will Lankshear | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 42% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 36% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 31% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Oxford United 0–0 Queens Park Rangers Jan 2026
- Oxford United 1–3 Queens Park Rangers Apr 2025
- Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Oxford United Dec 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Queens Park Rangers v Oxford United?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Queens Park Rangers v Oxford United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Koki Saito at 77% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.