Sheffield United v Wolves
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sheffield United lost to Wolves 0–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Hamza Choudhury for 1+ tackles (95%, had 4). Its clearest miss: Sam McCallum for 1+ fouls drawn (86%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
See the full player stats boardPlayer markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamza Choudhury | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 4 | ✓ |
| Kalvin Phillips | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Raúl Jiménez | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| André | tackles | 1+ | 93% | 4 | ✓ |
| Mateus Mané | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Thomas Cannon | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Patrick Bamford | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateus Mané | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Raúl Jiménez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Ayew | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Sam McCallum | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fer López | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sam McCallum | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kalvin Phillips | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 36% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Wolves 1–0 Sheffield United Feb 2024
- Sheffield United 2–1 Wolves Nov 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sheffield United v Wolves?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sheffield United v Wolves?
The most confident call it got wrong was Sam McCallum at 86% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.