Sunderland v Blackburn Rovers
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sunderland lost to Blackburn Rovers 0–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Wilson Isidor for 1+ shots total (79%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Cauley Woodrow for 1+ shots total (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Isidor | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 5 | ✓ |
| Lewis Travis | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Yuki Ohashi | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ryan Hedges | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Eliezer Mayenda | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alan Browne | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lewis Travis | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Milan Aleksić | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Cauley Woodrow | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yuki Ohashi | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Cauley Woodrow | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 3 | ✓ |
| Milan Aleksić | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tom Watson | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 3 | ✓ |
| Luke O'Nien | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 58% | 3 cards | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 47% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 44% | 1 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards · BTTS
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Blackburn Rovers 2–2 Sunderland Dec 2024
- Sunderland 1–5 Blackburn Rovers Apr 2024
- Blackburn Rovers 1–3 Sunderland Sep 2023
- Sunderland 2–1 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2022
- Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Sunderland Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sunderland v Blackburn Rovers?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sunderland v Blackburn Rovers?
The most confident call it got wrong was Cauley Woodrow at 74% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.