Swansea City v Wigan Athletic
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Swansea City drew with Wigan Athletic 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Joël Piroe for 1+ shots total (78%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Armstrong Oko-Flex for 1+ fouls committed (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
10 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Piroe | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 5 | ✓ |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Armstrong Oko-Flex | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Matthew Sorinola | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Cooper | shots total | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Callum Lang | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ryan Manning | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Armstrong Oko-Flex | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Olivier Ntcham | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Charlie Wyke | fouls committed | 1+ | 71% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jamie Paterson | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Obafemi | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 0 | ✗ |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 3 | ✓ |
| Oliver Cooper | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 40% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Wigan Athletic 0–2 Swansea City Apr 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Swansea City v Wigan Athletic?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Swansea City v Wigan Athletic?
The most confident call it got wrong was Armstrong Oko-Flex at 74% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.