West Brom v Oxford United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before West Brom beat Oxford United 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Karlan Grant for 1+ shots total (79%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Aune Selland Heggebø for 1+ fouls committed (76%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
3 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlan Grant | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Will Lankshear | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mikey Johnston | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 7 | ✓ |
| Isaac Price | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Przemysław Płacheta | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jayson Molumby | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Maja | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ousmane Diakité | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 3 | ✓ |
| Filip Krastev | fouls committed | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Callum Styles | fouls committed | 1+ | 71% | 0 | ✗ |
| Will Lankshear | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 2 | ✓ |
| Cameron Brannagan | shots total | 1+ | 68% | 3 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 41% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 39% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 21% | 0 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Oxford United 2–1 West Brom Feb 2026
- West Brom 2–0 Oxford United Feb 2025
- Oxford United 1–1 West Brom Oct 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on West Brom v Oxford United?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on West Brom v Oxford United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Aune Selland Heggebø at 76% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.