Wigan Athletic v Norwich
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Wigan Athletic drew with Norwich 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being James McClean for 1+ tackles (95%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Thelo Aasgaard for 1+ tackles (80%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James McClean | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adam Idah | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Sargent | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tendayi Darikwa | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Callum Lang | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 4 | ✓ |
| Christ Junior Tiehi | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ryan Nyambe | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| James McClean | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marcelino Núñez | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ashley Fletcher | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Thelo Aasgaard | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Steven Caulker | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dimitrios Giannoulis | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
| Callum Lang | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 4 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls committed Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 45% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 13% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 13% | No | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards Match goals
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Norwich 1–1 Wigan Athletic Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Wigan Athletic v Norwich?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Wigan Athletic v Norwich?
The most confident call it got wrong was Thelo Aasgaard at 80% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.