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Championship 26/27
BR

Branimir Mlačić

Defender WatfordChampionship 26/27

Also in: Serie A

Next match
Watford vs Charlton Athletic›
Sat 17 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 3 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 3 games

Compared with a Championship defender, 25/26, 5,111 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.43 per 90
33%
1 of 32.7×
6.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.43 per 90
33%
1 of 30.9×
2.25bet365Edge
Fouls won0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
Fouls committed0.43 per 90
33%
1 of 30.7×
Tackles1.71 per 90
100%Hot
3 of 31.6×
0%
0 of 3
Cards0.43 per 90
33%
1 of 32.2×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 179 selections across 53 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 3 Championship games, Branimir Mlačić has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 33% (1 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 3

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Branimir Mlačić in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 10 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Branimir MlačićWatford 30.43 0.43
George TannerBristol City 80.59 0.73
Zak VynerWrexham 80.13 0.92
Tom AtchesonBlackburn Rovers 80.13 0.93
Toti GomesWolverhampton 70.64 0.48
Odeluga OffiahPreston North End 80.19 0.75
These 5, combined 0.33 0.78

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 3 games Branimir Mlačić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Burnley10 Oct 90 1 1 0 0 2 0
@ Bristol City18 Sep 62 0 0 0 0 1 1
@ Swansea City1 Sep 59 0 0 1 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Branimir Mlačić have a shot on target?

Over the last 3 Championship games, Branimir Mlačić has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% (1 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Branimir Mlačić average?

Across the last 3 Championship games, Branimir Mlačić is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 0.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Branimir Mlačić get booked?

Branimir Mlačić is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Branimir Mlačić commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 3 games Branimir Mlačić commits 0.43 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Branimir Mlačić?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Branimir Mlačić plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.