Callum Connolly
Full-back 57% of 30 recent starts BlackpoolChampionship 22/23
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Callum Connolly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Callum Connolly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Norwich8 May | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City22 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Luton10 Apr | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cardiff City7 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Preston North End1 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Coventry City18 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City11 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Burnley4 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Reading25 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Callum Connolly have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Callum Connolly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Callum Connolly average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Callum Connolly is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Callum Connolly get booked?
Callum Connolly is averaging 0.37 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Callum Connolly commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Callum Connolly commits 1.85 fouls per 90 and wins 1.85 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Callum Connolly?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Callum Connolly plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.