Callum Connolly
Over the last 10 Championship games, Callum Connolly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Callum Connolly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Norwich8 May | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City22 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Luton10 Apr | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cardiff City7 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Preston North End1 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Coventry City18 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City11 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Burnley4 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Reading25 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Callum Connolly have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Callum Connolly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Callum Connolly average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Callum Connolly is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Callum Connolly get booked?
Callum Connolly is averaging 0.37 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Callum Connolly commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Callum Connolly commits 1.85 fouls per 90 and wins 1.85 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Callum Connolly?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Callum Connolly plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.