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Championship 23/24
FA

Fabio Carvalho

Striker 60% of 20 recent starts Hull CityChampionship 23/24

Also in: Premier LeagueBundesliga

Last games
max 20 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.11 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
Total shots1.52 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
Fouls won2.12 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.1×
Fouls committed1.52 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.5×
Tackles1.01 per 90
70%
7 of 102.3×
30%
3 of 104.0×
Cards0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 103.4×
Goals0.61 per 90
50%
5 of 102.9×
form only
Assists0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 104.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Fabio Carvalho has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Fabio Carvalho featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Plymouth Argyle4 May 90 1 1 3 2 1 0
Ipswich27 Apr 90 0 2 3 1 0 1
@ Coventry City24 Apr 90 2 2 1 0 2 1
@ Watford20 Apr 90 1 1 0 4 0 0
Queens Park Rangers13 Apr 85 2 2 1 3 2 0
Middlesbrough10 Apr 90 0 2 1 2 1 1
@ Cardiff City6 Apr 86 2 2 0 2 0 0
@ Leeds1 Apr 90 1 1 1 2 1 0
Stoke City29 Mar 90 0 0 1 2 2 0
Leicester9 Mar 90 2 2 4 3 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Fabio Carvalho have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Fabio Carvalho has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Fabio Carvalho average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Fabio Carvalho is averaging 1.11 shots on target and 1.52 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Fabio Carvalho get booked?

Fabio Carvalho is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Fabio Carvalho commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Fabio Carvalho commits 1.52 fouls per 90 and wins 2.12 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fabio Carvalho?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fabio Carvalho plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.