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Championship · 25/26
LU

Luke Freeman

Forward · Luton · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Luke Freeman has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 26 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.41
30%3 of 10
2.05
50%5 of 10
2.47
50%5 of 10
2.47
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luke Freeman featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Hull City8 May 90 1 3 2 1 0
@ Blackburn Rovers1 May 15 0 0 1 1 0
Middlesbrough24 Apr 12 0 0 0 0 0
@ Reading19 Apr 11 0 0 1 0 0
@ Rotherham United15 Apr 11 0 0 0 0 0
Blackpool10 Apr 11 0 1 1 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers29 Dec 14 0 0 0 1 0
Norwich26 Dec 12 0 0 0 0 0
@ Middlesbrough10 Dec 23 0 0 1 1 0
Rotherham United12 Nov 20 0 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
James Linington 3 games · Luke Freeman booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
Tim Robinson 3 games · Luke Freeman never booked 4.57cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Luke Freeman have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Luke Freeman has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Luke Freeman average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Luke Freeman is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 2.05 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luke Freeman get booked?

Luke Freeman is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luke Freeman commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luke Freeman commits 2.47 fouls per 90 and wins 2.47 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke Freeman?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Luke Freeman plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.